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I think they are defining ‘real war’ as ‘total war’. None of the wars the US has been involved in since WWII have required the near-total economic output of our
by quickthrowman 6y ago
I think they are defining ‘real war’ as ‘total war’. None of the wars the US has been involved in since WWII have required the near-total economic output of our nation to participate in.
- newacct583 6y agoBy that standard "total war" doesn't exist any more, the only exceptions I can think of being civil wars in developing nations with negligible GDP.
- quickthrowman 6y agoTotal war still exists as a concept and is not out of the question in the future. Another world war is still possible, we’re still human beings, after all. Personally, I think there hasn’t been another worldwide conflict because of nuclear weapons. I pray we never see another world war, because those will be used. Let’s hope the MacArthurs and Lemays of the 50s and 60s are all gone..
- throwanem 6y agoI added a clarifying edit to my toplevel comment; briefly, the axis of my distinction is that of symmetricality. I expect the next major geopolitical era, following the post-Cold War interregnum which we seem now to be exiting, will be characterized by one of two paradigms: either oligolateral hegemony of the sort in which the US and the Soviet Union competed after WWII, but with different players, or whatever follows a violation of what has since August 1945 been the de facto single rule governing nuclear warfare - that is, thou shalt not. I don't have a good idea of what comes after such a fundamental shift, and I think neither does anyone else.
- quickthrowman 6y agoI saw your clarification and agree that symmetricality is a better distinction. I agree with your analysis of the future geopolitical situation, China is making moves into Africa via sovereign debt and infrastructure, the US and EU will probably move to contain this at some point. And that’s one of many places this game is happening. I’ll gladly take another prolonged Cold War type situation over bombs.
- throwanem 6y agoAs will I, but I don't know that I expect the US to be a major player in the likely upcoming round of dueling hegemonies. I think it depends a lot on what happens here over the next couple of decades, and very little of what has happened here over the last couple of decades encourages me to optimism on that score. Maybe I'll feel better when the current gerontocracy starts dying off at last. They can't possibly hold on that much longer. Or so at least I'd like to hope...but there, too, so much depends on exactly who ascends to replace them, and that's contingent on too many things for me to feel confident about any prediction I might make.