3 ms·
It's worth understanding the kind of disruption you mean - product to product, or product to commodity. Simon Wardley has a blog with lots of posts about this.
by frabcus 6y ago
It's worth understanding the kind of disruption you mean - product to product, or product to commodity. Simon Wardley has a blog with lots of posts about this.
Also his free book about Wardley Mapping is useful for understanding the phase changes of bespoke to warring products to commodity.
For specific ideas, see "Figure 2 - Wars" in this Simon Wardley blog post (written five years ago, diagram is I think ten years old so you can validate early parts of it):
https://blog.gardeviance.org/2015/02/on-two-forms-of-disruptions.html https://blog.gardeviance.org/2015/02/on-two-forms-of-disrupt...
We're currently just come through war phase (when there's fierce competition to own commodity versions and lots of new innovation gets built on top) of Big Data.
From the diagram, the next wars Simon reckons should happen about now (and I can't find a post where he explains how he made that diagram) are:
* Sensor as a Service (think radically better health or environment sensors, detecting important trace molecules cheaply)
* Robotics (I guess think Ocado warehouses, or Shenzhen factories)
* Currency (digital can change this in ways other than Bitcoin, depending on your politics too)
Then the phase after that in 5-10 years time are:
* Internet of Things (I'm guessing by then the microcomputers might be *so* cheap and network *so* easy they literally go in everything)
* Immersive (VR/AR I think)
* 3D printing (it's not very good or cheap yet, it will be)
* Genetic Engineering, GMO
* Social Change (not clear what this means, but certainly you can look around the world and see the demand)
You can look for yourself for more.
For slightly longer term, worth knowing the word "spime" as something to head for as well.