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I see no reason to believe this to br greater today than in 2016. And I believe the 2016 data did not show any of it. More polls have also moved from live inte

• gridlockd 6y ago
  In 2016 Trump polled way worse than he performed in key states. People are also more paranoid today than in 2016. If the communists take over, you do not want to be on some voted—nazi list.
  • jcranmer 6y ago
    > In 2016 Trump polled way worse than he performed in key states. That's not really true. The state-level polls were generally within normal polling error, although there was a systematic error due to educational attainment. In 2020, more pollsters have incorporated educational attainment into their weighting, so this source of error should be reduced.
• syshum 6y ago
  Really? Since 2016 the far left has gone insane with conspiracy theory and cancel culture There are all kinds of reasons to believe people would lie to pollster calling them up That is with out getting into the real sampling problems they have as when you look into the data they over-sample Democrats a good deal and I do not believe they properly account for this over sample largely because they do so on a base ratio, the problem with that is I believe they are also massively oversampling never trump republicans so they have an inaccurate republican sample for which to re-balance the polling They are not polling Trump's base, or Trump supporters or really the moderate middle They are getting Democrats and Never Trump republicans in their polls