5 ms·

According to the official numbers, of the 7.8 million eligible voters, 40% voted, and 7% of those voted for Tikhanovskaya. That's 218400 people. According to t

According to the official numbers, of the 7.8 million eligible voters, 40% voted, and 7% of those voted for Tikhanovskaya. That's 218400 people. According to the telegram poll, 1.184 million people voted for Tikhanovskaya. That's over 5x as many as according to the official numbers. The sample size doesn't matter here, were talking absolute number. It seems pretty unlikely 5x more people (absolute number, not fraction) voted for her in a poll than in the real elections. (I have not checked the source for the numbers, I've just assumed the above poster used the right ones)

jariel 6y ago
Your numbers don't match Wikipedia [1] which indicates that there was 85% turnout, Tikhanovskaya got 10% ~600K votes. But maybe I missed something. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Belarusian_presidential_election#Turnout_and_results https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Belarusian_presidential_e...
- sam_lowry_ 6y ago
  The turnout was high indeed. As for the rest of the Wikipedia article, it is woefully incorrect. I will add up-to-date information to the "Voice" section and I hope others will fix factual errors in the Death section and other parts of that article. Bear in mind that Wikipedia's policy is use "official" sources when in doubt. According to Wikipedia, Assange is a criminal. Snowden is a traitor.
  - jariel 6y ago
    "Bear in mind that Wikipedia's policy is use "official" sources when in doubt. According to Wikipedia, Assange is a criminal. Snowden is a traitor." Not really. They use credible sources as far as they can find them, their numbers on Belarus look like what the international press is reporting. Wikipedia doesn't 'think' that Assange or Snowden are anything. They have long articles detailing their history, and possibly what some others might think.
throw38474 6y ago
Do Belarusians have online voting? Voting online is low friction. Voting by mail is slightly harder. Taking time off to wait in line and vote in person is time consuming.

jariel 6y ago

Your numbers don't match Wikipedia [1] which indicates that there was 85% turnout, Tikhanovskaya got 10% ~600K votes. But maybe I missed something. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Belarusian_presidential_election#Turnout_and_results https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Belarusian_presidential_e...

sam_lowry_ 6y ago
The turnout was high indeed. As for the rest of the Wikipedia article, it is woefully incorrect. I will add up-to-date information to the "Voice" section and I hope others will fix factual errors in the Death section and other parts of that article. Bear in mind that Wikipedia's policy is use "official" sources when in doubt. According to Wikipedia, Assange is a criminal. Snowden is a traitor.
- jariel 6y ago
  "Bear in mind that Wikipedia's policy is use "official" sources when in doubt. According to Wikipedia, Assange is a criminal. Snowden is a traitor." Not really. They use credible sources as far as they can find them, their numbers on Belarus look like what the international press is reporting. Wikipedia doesn't 'think' that Assange or Snowden are anything. They have long articles detailing their history, and possibly what some others might think.

throw38474 6y ago

Do Belarusians have online voting? Voting online is low friction. Voting by mail is slightly harder. Taking time off to wait in line and vote in person is time consuming.