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But it does! For example, in Tanzania (the place in Africa that I lived), a lot of women sell vegetables. They don't have enough money to buy them outright at t
by smabie 6y ago
But it does! For example, in Tanzania (the place in Africa that I lived), a lot of women sell vegetables. They don't have enough money to buy them outright at the beginning of the day, so they take them on credit, and then pay for them at the end of the day. The vegetables on credit are very expensive, 25-50% more. The vegetable women is always one day behind, and losing a ton of income because she is being fronted.
If she had enough money to buy the vegetables outright, it would make a huge difference in her life. And indeed, this is the whole problem microfinance loans aim to solve.
There are so many people who just need a very small amount of money ($10-$20), and it would jump start their business.
But instead of saving until they have it, they spend everything they have at the end of the day. And it's easy to see why: when life is very hard, you need something to just feel okay enough to start it all again tomorrow.
Those that end up in a good place are the very people who have the willpower to delay their consumption. Most aren't like that, but some are, and the difference in outcome is stark.
I actually started a school over there, and taught some classes about personal finance, investing, compound interest, etc to a class of mostly young women (young men are much more difficult to teach).
Their minds were totally blown by how powerful even just saving 25 or 50 cents a day. One even told me a year after she attended the class that I had changed her life forever. And indeed I had, she went from having nothing and selling donuts (essentially) on the side of the road, to opening her first small convenience store, to saving money for her second.
These things matter, and there's a lot of low hanging fruit in terms of affecting change in 3rd world countries.
- rmrfstar 6y agoI think you accidentally made my point. If the real returns to investment in impoverished regions are so high, why are those investments not being made? The fact that your advice "changed [a] life forever" is strongly suggestive of outsize returns to capital, which should attract strong investment.
- devdas 6y agoIt's high risk, and institutional finance isn't available to poor people. Being poor is expensive.
- smabie 6y agoMicrofinance is very hard to get right. It requires a lot of supervision, a large network of loan officers, and intricate structuring of the terms in order to align incentives. Moreover, the loans are capacity constrained, the risk is high, takes tons of work, a lot of local knowledge, etc. All in all, it's almost impossible for microfinance loans to work for the lender. As a charity, it works okay, but if you want to earn yield, forget about it. There's tons of really amazing opportunities in EM, but you can't exploit them by sitting at your desk. Or rather, those that can have probably already been exploited.
- newen 6y agoThere should be a name for this kind of logical fallacy you're making. Like rational markets fallacy. You can't assume a market will always act rationally and freely in a simplistic manner. It's kind of like saying the taxi market is efficient, it cannot possibly be disrupted. Then Uber comes in and disrupts the market and then you say, the taxi market was inefficient and ripe for disruption. While the fact remains that all along it was inefficient. Bad example I know.