Well precisely, it doesn’t actually matter. I’ll let you into a secret: there isn’t even really a dice. The point is more to get people to think about the diff

Well precisely, it doesn’t actually matter. I’ll let you into a secret: there isn’t even really a dice. The point is more to get people to think about the difference between aggregate average mortality, vs the individual prognosis of one unlucky COVID patient. This winds up being a trolley-problem kind of reframing of a moral argument. Philosophically, should you change your behavior between the following two scenarios: - a group of 100 people all have a 1 in 100 chance of dying of a disease - a group of 100 people contain one person who will definitely die if they get the disease ? Does your answer change if you are the one person?