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Reality still hasn't hit the travel industry yet. We still haven't even begun to see the impact of covid on the economy start to unravel. Business travel is do
by baron_harkonnen 6y ago
Reality still hasn't hit the travel industry yet. We still haven't even begun to see the impact of covid on the economy start to unravel.
Business travel is done, but this is where a huge amount of airline and hotel profits come from. Travel is dirt cheap right now because, at least in the US, airlines have to fly. They can't lay off employees or reduce staff until, currently, end of September. But once they can I suspect we'll see very different behavior for airlines.
Beyond that we still haven't started to feel the full impact of all the job losses, and the people who remain employed but at substantially lower rates, or in more volunerable positions.
The relatively young travelers that make up a lot of AirBnb's business, have largely not been concerned about the virus, certainly aren't concerned about future economic impacts and have mostly seen cheap flights with hotels unwilling to book so they head to a rental.
These are travelers whose optimism is based on a decade+ of perpetual economic growth. Even those losing their jobs don't really believe that there can be a prolonged period where it's hard to find work.
I believe that this coming Fall will bring a lot of reality to the forefront. I suspect leadership at AirBNB has similar thoughts and wants to get that IPO before the buzzer.
- karlkatzke 6y ago> They can't lay off employees or reduce staff until, currently, end of September. The WARN letters for October 1 layoffs have all already gone out. They needed to be out before August 1st. So we'll know of any further layoffs with two months notice.
- thebean11 6y agoI think the big bucks for AirBnb in the future are in the medium-long term rental market, not the vacation market. The >1 month rentals also happen to bypass most of the regulations they're having issues with.
- LegitShady 6y agoI dont think they have any competitive advantage there.
- baxtr 6y agoI’m not so sure. Look at Sweden, look at NYC. The numbers ain’t going up again until now. There have been pandemics before, that’s not the first one. And after the pandemic everything will be as before.