5 ms·
> But we also don't know what antibody/T-cell levels... would = herd immunity. OK, but wouldn't a random sampling at least provide an answer to what pct of the
by smallgovt 6y ago
> But we also don't know what antibody/T-cell levels... would = herd immunity.
OK, but wouldn't a random sampling at least provide an answer to what pct of the population was infected at some point? That seems like a great starting point.
- gloriosoc 6y agoYes, and for some reason, NYC and the CDC are not releasing results later than mid April. It is very suspicious imo. They were releasing antibody results and then abruptly stopped without explanation.
- smallgovt 6y agoCan you point me to the latest released results? Thanks!
- gloriosoc 6y agoThis just came out https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data-testing.page https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data-testing.pa...
- smallgovt 6y agoThe antibody test results for this data set don't seem representative of the population at large. Reason being, if you look at the antibody positivity rate, it consistently drops as time goes on (whereas everything I've read suggests it should increase with time as more ppl have been infected). My guess is that at the beginning, hospitals were only testing COVID-sick patients, and as time went on testing became more widespread.
- gloriosoc 6y agoOr the initial antibodies drop in people that have had COVID over time (which they probably do). The antibody tests test for the kind of antibodies that are present immediately- over time a previously infected person will have less of those antibodies and more of the back up Tcell kind. You can read a review on this here: https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02400-7 https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02400-7.