If the evangelists from the article say html5 will overtake native in 2 years, then is the likelihood more along 5 years? And who's to say it'll use the web for

If the evangelists from the article say html5 will overtake native in 2 years, then is the likelihood more along 5 years? And who's to say it'll use the web for distribution? Consumers aren't using Google to find apps, they're using the App Store.