> One thing that troubles me about rationalist-affiliated writing is that it tends to rest on what looks, at first glance, like a decent evidence base, but this

> One thing that troubles me about rationalist-affiliated writing is that it tends to rest on what looks, at first glance, like a decent evidence base, but this evidence often breaks down under a little scrutiny. This is very true, and the rationality community has plenty of its own sacred cows (prediction markets are a great example) which this type of “evidenceyness” is used to confirm all the time. Every community is bound to have blind spots and biases. Perhaps there is nothing more important than critical thinking to avoid building a community around.