Yes. For those that doubt this, consider: 1. He's one of those people that thinks Trump is playing 4D chess. 2. He 'successfully' predicted Trump would win th

Yes. For those that doubt this, consider: 1. He's one of those people that thinks Trump is playing 4D chess. 2. He 'successfully' predicted Trump would win the election, and has subsequently fooled himself into thinking he has some special insight into social dynamics and interpreting Trump's 4D chess that allows him to continue making accurate predictions. I'm sure the more predictions he makes, the closer he'll get to a 50% success rate (binomial theorem) - as do most 'expert' political prognosticators who aren't using statistical models but going off their intuition. I wonder if he'll figure out what's happening. When I read his writings, I just see an incredibly naive approach to prediction, ignorant of probability, that is primarily informed by the fact that he's a Republican who therefore is biased towards favorably interpreting Republican odds.