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I agree with a slight adjustment: i actually believe it is both robotic-type of automation, as well as, fewer people forced to do more than previous workers. I
by mxuribe 6y ago
I agree with a slight adjustment: i actually believe it is both robotic-type of automation, as well as, fewer people forced to do more than previous workers. I think if a company makes physical things or is moe under the blue collar type of output, then maybe the percent sways slightl more towards physical automata such as robots, but also might include the "less people doing more" aspect. Now, when the companies are more knowledge-based/white collar work, then the percents flip...but again, i think this is all nuanced, and no single form of automation prevails universally.
> ...The net result is that you end up with more roles that are senior level and less opportunities for entry level.
I've felt this has been a thing for almost two decades now...And, if you're right, (and my spidey sense/tingling feeling) has been confirmed, then it would be very scary! I wonder if the apprenticeship models that have been championed and succeeded in places like Germany, will eventually force our nation to adopt them, and veer away from the traditional (college-esque) route because there simply is too few entry level options now? I'm not saying the college or the apprenticeship route is best, or if there's even room for a hyrid, just pondering based on your hypothesis, which i actually, scarily agree with.
- war1025 6y ago> I actually believe it is both robotic-type of automation It doesn't even have to be automation. A lot of it is just enormous scaling up of equipment. For example, road building used to take hundreds or thousands of people with shovels and wheel barrows. Now it's a crew of ten or twenty people driving enormous earth moving machines. Same with farming. What used to be a guy with a horse pulling a single row planter is now a guy in a tractor with a 40 row planter. A lot of productivity gains in industry are similar. Things get scaled up to ridiculous levels that people a hundred years ago couldn't even dream of.
- mxuribe 6y agoAgreed, I can't deny the vast gains in efficiency. But I'm also referring more to bosses and owners of capital squeezing wherever they can, including reducing headcount but reducing work/business.