A country with hyper-growth in population with a very strong group-identity culture that's internally fractured into a large majority being brutally ruled by a

A country with hyper-growth in population with a very strong group-identity culture that's internally fractured into a large majority being brutally ruled by a small minority, surrounded by regional powers that are happy for any opportunity to wage proxy wars, becoming the focal point for global powers to wage proxy wars... The drought certainly didn't help and it may well have been the straw the broke the camel's back, but it wouldn't have been a major issue had they not quadrupled their population within 50 years, had a more modern economy that allowed for wide-spread participation, had a less tribal society with a democratic government and weren't in the neighborhood of Turkey, Iran and Saudi Arabia.