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Demise of US is overrated. The Geographic, Demographic, Intellectual advantages of America are not easily replicable. Add to the mix Shale/Energy Independence a
by sremani 6y ago
Demise of US is overrated. The Geographic, Demographic, Intellectual advantages of America are not easily replicable. Add to the mix Shale/Energy Independence and brining back reasonable amount of supply chain back to North America.
China does not stand a chance. Look at their BRI track record. Every ally of US during Cold war benefitted economically and places like ROK literally moved out of Poverty to become developed countries.
China has 19 neighbors and adversarial relationship with almost all of them. The disadvantages of Chinese economic system and demographic imbalance are not visible from distance. Their energy has to pass through two choke points and their main commodity exporter is a ally of US.
edited: changed vassal to ally.. but poor Australia does not have much choice. It has to be Tonto for the global maritime power.
- ntsplnkv2 6y agoIt seems, in general, you are talking about China replacing the US. The US no longer being hegemon doesn't imply China is. I.e., your argument is a straw-man. China may never become hegemon. But the idea that the US is invincible like it was 10 years ago, is simply untrue anyore. Pride comes before the fall - no one ever expected goliath to fall, but sometimes, goliath does.
- sremani 6y agoUS may lose will to police the world, but with Space Force and 11 super carriers - if you mess with 'Murica... KNOCK KNOCK! Still 24% of WORLD GDP and Still Young and produces 2x food and sufficient amount energy including Renewables. Read up on capabilities of US Navy - the underwriter of global maritime security and who is going to challenge with few exceptions. If the World fragments -- somebody got to supply the weapons!!!
- bassman9000 6y agoIt is not a straw man. OP was talking about the demise of the US. Demise compared to what? Seems China is the only "rising star" that can take a similar position. How are you going to measure the demise if not comparing to the closest thing to a peer? And I disagree too, and not focusing only on China: is there any other country, in the Earth, closer to true autarky, than the US? NOT saying the US is close. I'm asking: could any other country be as independent as the US of international relationships, including trading? Strong internal market, plenty of industry, plenty of new technologies and talent, plenty of resources, can feed itself, has clean water, access to 2 oceans, access to space, vast amounts of land, strong military with unparalleled projection...