3 ms·
I am going to sound like a looney, but bear with me. The mortality rate of Covid isn't that much higher than the seasonal flu for those aged under 50. (most ch
by screye 6y ago
I am going to sound like a looney, but bear with me.
The mortality rate of Covid isn't that much higher than the seasonal flu for those aged under 50. (most children or their parents). It is far lower for those under the age of 30. Assuming 200k Americans have died from Covid, current stats put the number of deaths under the age of 18 at 70/200k and 18-44 at 6k/200k.
In other words, you child is more likely to die of the seasonal flu and about 50-100x more likely to commit suicide than dying of COVID 19. The parents themselves are at about an equal risk of dying of Covid as they are of dying by the flu.
Covid is killing plenty of folks over 50. We know this. We've known this from the start. It is incredibly odd to me, that no country has taken precautions that particularly target the safety of these older people. In places where Covid is on its last legs like MA/NY, a large number of deaths are coming out of old age homes. Surely there must be way to address those directly.
The concerns around COVID are misplaced. It is a drop-let borne disease that primarily kills old people and uses delayed symptoms to facilitate spread. Sanitizing surfaces is not going to help. Acting paranoid about your kids is not going to help.
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P.S: I have looked up legitimate stats for my claims, but am not linking them atm, due to lack of time. Also, I am purely looking at death and not side effects. I also don't claim to make the comparisons in controlled-trial manner. Lastly, masks and distancing are essential, irrespective of the points I make above. It also assumes that the current strategy is to distance until a vaccine arrives. Because, I don't think herd immunity or complete eradication are realistic possibilities.
- jacquesm 6y agoBesides cherry picking your stats you are making a giant mistake: COVID-19 has not yet run its course and any and all stats are subject to continuous change. Your PS covers a lot of ground that invalidates your previous writing, what you call 'side effects' are normally called just 'effects', if a disease does not kill you what remains are the symptoms, some of which can last a lifetime. You don't just gloss over that if those are as severe as they can be in the case of COVID-19, it's not that you end up sneezing once per day or something innocent like that.
- nashalo_nighly 6y agoI don’t think comparing only mortality rates is accurate. I can’t say « you are much more likely to die by falling into a volcano than to die because of the flu » just because the mortality rate of falling into a volcano is much higher than getting the flu. I think one also has to factor in the likelihood of the event, in the case of diseases we might look at how contagious the diseases are.
- fiblye 6y agoI think the big concern for young people is the lingering effects. Once people get a flu and recover, they’re back to normal. People with COVID are struggling to breathe months later and heart damage is being reported.
- screye 6y agoI particularly left them out because it is insanely difficult to find any real stats on what the rate of lingering effects of COVID might be. The only thing we know, is the effects only manifest for seriously symptomatic patients. Of course, in case of substantial rate of effects post illness, my comment would be rendered entirely invalid.
- koyote 6y ago> Once people get a flu and recover, they’re back to normal. Do you have a source on that?