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I don't think you analogy is well thought out. It's more like giving them the confidence to jump by telling them that other people have successfully jumped. P

I don't think you analogy is well thought out. It's more like giving them the confidence to jump by telling them that other people have successfully jumped. Perhaps the jumper does not have the ideal mindset, but it's better to inform them that it is possible rather than keeping them in the dark, acting as if no one has ever successfully jumped before.

ardy42 6y ago
> I don't think you analogy is well thought out. > It's more like giving them the confidence to jump by telling them that other people have successfully jumped. No, you're missing the point: other people have successfully "jumped" (opened schools), but the person you're talking to (the US) is not equipped like they were and will die if they jump. Success in this case doesn't have anything to do with having the mindset to jump or not, it has everything to do with having made the right preparations before jumping. The kind of mindset change that you seem to be advocating for is the exact thing that got us into this mess: the idea that you can be successful merely by confidently believing you will succeed (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Power_of_Positive_Thinking#Popular_culture https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Power_of_Positive_Thinking...). That kind of thing causes people to overconfidently blunder into failure like an idiot. If there's any mindset change needed here, it's to convince the person adopt the the mindset to be willing to turn the plane around, land, buy a parachute, take a parachuting class, go back up in the plane, and only then jump.