3 ms·
It's indeed a nice guide. One place where the intuition stops unexpectedly, is calculating the probability of getting 2 reds balls out (without replacement). I
by jhncls 6y ago
It's indeed a nice guide. One place where the intuition stops unexpectedly, is calculating the probability of getting 2 reds balls out (without replacement). In the situation with all balls together, the chance would be 1/4. But with two separate boxes, the probability would change to 4999/20000 (1/2 * (1/100 * (0 + 1/2 * 99/100) + 99/100 * (1/2 * 1/100 + 1/2 * 98/99))).
- cleansingfire 6y agoThere's no 1/4 here. (1/2) (99/199) = 99/398 First ball removed changes the odds for second draw.