I don't think they suggested people were able to predict the timing, just that some countries chose to have preparedness strategies and some didn't. In all fai

I don't think they suggested people were able to predict the timing, just that some countries chose to have preparedness strategies and some didn't. In all fairness, the US did actually think to create a preparedness strategy, it was just ignored when the time came. In your market comparison, it would be like having a safety net of cash stashed in case of a market crash, and when the market crashes you spend it all immediately on a new car.