There is no good answer. It is possible to do child care safely, as some programs in NYC remarkably demonstrated over the spring and summer, but it is all too

There is no good answer. It is possible to do child care safely, as some programs in NYC remarkably demonstrated over the spring and summer, but it is all too easy to fail. And even "success" still involves some level of infection, spread, and risk of death or long term health impacts in the participants. The overall aggregate risk may be low, but the predictability in any particular case is also low, so engaging is something like playing a game of Russian Roulette. That said, in NYC, we are open to having our 3 kids return to in-person school, at least in the 1st quarter, while we expect 2nd and 3rd quarters over winter to be full lockdown. Even if there is a return for the start of 1st quarter, we do not expect it to last, as the temporary quarantine bar is low, and the overall fragility of the dependencies and relationships required is high.