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I am looking forward to all the new AI startups that launch when the OpenAI GPT-3 API goes out of beta. Their secret sauce will be nothing more than a handcraft

I am looking forward to all the new AI startups that launch when the OpenAI GPT-3 API goes out of beta. Their secret sauce will be nothing more than a handcrafted prompt, which would be like launching a company based on a fancy SQL query used to query a 3rd party database.

phreeza 6y ago
And then the gnashing of teeth 2 years later when the terms or the availability of the API change, making half of the startups nonviable.
- msoad 6y ago
  with enough resource you can recreate what the paper describes. I'm still not sure if this stuff useful to sell as a service though
  - rosstex 6y ago
    You could also just steal OpenAI's cluster in a midnight heist, that might be easier.
    - kyrieeschaton 6y ago
      There are multiple groups working on reimplementations of GPT-3. It's not that difficult, just requires a certain level of compute resources which a lot of BigCos and large organizations have on tap already.
- rvz 6y ago
  Exactly. Building an entire startup on top of someone else's API (Especially when the big players can also access it) doesn't seem to be a great idea. The only winner here is always OpenAI.
puranjay 6y ago
I'm already dreading all the SEO spam it will lead to.
- rvnx 6y ago
  At some point the SEO spam will become so good that it will become interesting content
  - makomk 6y ago
    One day, we might even reach full-on https://xkcd.com/810/ https://xkcd.com/810/
tehsauce 6y ago
I'm more curious to see what happens when single developers are able to launch products which are vastly better than existing solutions, using just a couple days of effort.
- rvnx 6y ago
  1) Big Corp approaches the single dev saying that Famous Boss of Big Corp is impressed by his project and would like to hear more about it and maybe acquire his project 2) Single dev shares secret sauce (if necessary) during due diligence 3) Big Corp makes a super low offer 4) Big Corp puts 2 engineers on it to copy the result 5) Big Corp is now Bigger Corp, and single dev is still single.
  - tehsauce 6y ago
    Yes, this is exactly how it will go down I think. Somewhere I read a great analysis which said this was the opposite of "disruptive innovation", but instead this type of innovation will primarily reinforce the positions of the incumbents.

phreeza 6y ago

And then the gnashing of teeth 2 years later when the terms or the availability of the API change, making half of the startups nonviable.

msoad 6y ago
with enough resource you can recreate what the paper describes. I'm still not sure if this stuff useful to sell as a service though
- rosstex 6y ago
  You could also just steal OpenAI's cluster in a midnight heist, that might be easier.
  - kyrieeschaton 6y ago
    There are multiple groups working on reimplementations of GPT-3. It's not that difficult, just requires a certain level of compute resources which a lot of BigCos and large organizations have on tap already.
rvz 6y ago
Exactly. Building an entire startup on top of someone else's API (Especially when the big players can also access it) doesn't seem to be a great idea. The only winner here is always OpenAI.

puranjay 6y ago

I'm already dreading all the SEO spam it will lead to.

rvnx 6y ago
At some point the SEO spam will become so good that it will become interesting content
- makomk 6y ago
  One day, we might even reach full-on https://xkcd.com/810/ https://xkcd.com/810/

tehsauce 6y ago

I'm more curious to see what happens when single developers are able to launch products which are vastly better than existing solutions, using just a couple days of effort.

rvnx 6y ago
1) Big Corp approaches the single dev saying that Famous Boss of Big Corp is impressed by his project and would like to hear more about it and maybe acquire his project 2) Single dev shares secret sauce (if necessary) during due diligence 3) Big Corp makes a super low offer 4) Big Corp puts 2 engineers on it to copy the result 5) Big Corp is now Bigger Corp, and single dev is still single.
- tehsauce 6y ago
  Yes, this is exactly how it will go down I think. Somewhere I read a great analysis which said this was the opposite of "disruptive innovation", but instead this type of innovation will primarily reinforce the positions of the incumbents.