3 ms·
> The overall IFR for this virus is somewhere around 0.1-0.6% Do you have a good citation for this, because the Biostatics research university at Cambridge hav
by iso1210 6y ago
> The overall IFR for this virus is somewhere around 0.1-0.6%
Do you have a good citation for this, because the Biostatics research university at Cambridge have IFR 10 times that.
https://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/now-casting/ https://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/now-casting/
- irq11 6y agoThat’s just ridiculously, inexcusably wrong. The best estimates have been under 0.7% since March. The CDC current estimate is 0.65%: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...
- iso1210 6y agoSo the CDC say 0.7% as the best estimate, above even your highest 0.6% statement. Until recently Cambridge had 0.9%, this has increased recently as more evidence has come out. Taking a 0.7% value would mean that 40% of Brooklyn has had it, a figure not backed by serological tests. Even is 100% of Brooklyn had has covid, that would give and IFR of nearly 0.3%