3 ms·
> What kind of hope were you holding if I may ask, that it's been crushed that many times already? Not the OP but the expectations were that in 6 months' time
by paganel 6y ago
> What kind of hope were you holding if I may ask, that it's been crushed that many times already?
Not the OP but the expectations were that in 6 months' time we would have gotten better at treating at least "some" of the disease. No-one knowledgeable enough expected a vaccine by this autumn but some people were hoping for a greatly increased standard of covid care in August 2020 compared to February 2020.
Re: the vaccine thing, I don't think that's logistically possible to give the vaccine to billions of people in less than a year (even a 50% covid vaccination rate for our species would mean administering 3.5-4 billion vaccines), so 2022 at the earliest looks like our best bet (hoping that we'd actually have the vaccine by early 2021). Looking at past vaccination campaigns I personally think that even a 3-5 year timeframe looks optimistic, but that's just me.
- randallsquared 6y agoMarch or April compared to now seem to indicate we do have a greatly increased standard of care, resulting in a much higher infections per death ratio.
- uw_rob 6y agoThis isn't necessarily true - there is a implied assumption that the infections are still following the same distribution among people with different risk factors, but that isn't necessarily the case.