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Not sure that this is an apples to apples comparison. The US average includes many driving scenarios that Tesla’s autopilot cannot navigate. ~52% of accidents

Not sure that this is an apples to apples comparison. The US average includes many driving scenarios that Tesla’s autopilot cannot navigate. ~52% of accidents happen within 5 miles of home. At least where I live, Tesla’s autopilot couldn’t navigate the 5 miles around my house on city streets. A better comparison may be to compare accident rates for same/similar driving scenarios as the Tesla autopilot. While we all know that humans are bad drivers, perhaps it would would be better to compare accident rates for freeway driving.

Retric 6y ago
I suspect that number 52% has a lot to do with how many miles are driven within a 5 mile radius the home. A 5 mile radius is ~78.54 square miles where Manhattan for example is only 33.58 sq mi.
- casefields 6y ago
  Not only that, but you're at your most tired as well. Early morning and late at night after a long day. Driving tired is like driving drunk.
anaisbetts 6y ago
Yep, this is a pretty meaningless statistic
Barrin92 6y ago
>Not sure that this is an apples to apples comparison. Not only is it a bad comparison, the causality works the exact other way around. If the accident rate was higher than some acceptable standard X, then autopilot would be turned off because that's literally the definition under which automation isn't tolerated.
vannevar 6y ago
Yes, the article admits as much, noting that Autopilot is much more likely to be used on the highway where the accident rate per mile is much lower.
AtlasBarfed 6y ago
Since highway autopilot is the #1 feature I want from self-driving systems, despite the apples-to-oranges nature, 10X better is still a really good sign. Highway self-driving should be the easiest to automate under decent conditions, and would eliminate 50-80% of the flights I've taken. And it would be a lower carbon footprint even if it was ICE, and EV would be lower in the short run (better efficiency) and even better once solar/wind/storage displaces all of coal and natural gas.

Retric 6y ago

I suspect that number 52% has a lot to do with how many miles are driven within a 5 mile radius the home. A 5 mile radius is ~78.54 square miles where Manhattan for example is only 33.58 sq mi.

casefields 6y ago
Not only that, but you're at your most tired as well. Early morning and late at night after a long day. Driving tired is like driving drunk.

anaisbetts 6y ago

Yep, this is a pretty meaningless statistic

Barrin92 6y ago

>Not sure that this is an apples to apples comparison. Not only is it a bad comparison, the causality works the exact other way around. If the accident rate was higher than some acceptable standard X, then autopilot would be turned off because that's literally the definition under which automation isn't tolerated.

vannevar 6y ago

Yes, the article admits as much, noting that Autopilot is much more likely to be used on the highway where the accident rate per mile is much lower.

AtlasBarfed 6y ago

Since highway autopilot is the #1 feature I want from self-driving systems, despite the apples-to-oranges nature, 10X better is still a really good sign. Highway self-driving should be the easiest to automate under decent conditions, and would eliminate 50-80% of the flights I've taken. And it would be a lower carbon footprint even if it was ICE, and EV would be lower in the short run (better efficiency) and even better once solar/wind/storage displaces all of coal and natural gas.