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There's a classic example of this with the way the National Weather Service provides forecasts of the likelihood of severe storms. Put the following into incre
by NovemberWhiskey 6y ago
There's a classic example of this with the way the National Weather Service provides forecasts of the likelihood of severe storms.
Put the following into increasing order of likelihood: High, Slight, Moderate, Enhanced, Marginal
When surveyed, members of the general public most commonly sorted them: Slight, Marginal, Moderate, Enhanced, High.
Whereas the NWS intends: Marginal, Slight, Enhanced, Moderate, High.
The WaPo has an article about it from a few weeks ago.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/06/10/storm-prediction-center-risk-categories/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/06/10/storm-pred...
- andreareina 6y agoSeems I'm in the middle, I'd have gone Marginal, Slight, Moderate, Enhanced, High. I wonder what's the thinking that puts Slight < Marginal.