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Ask HN: If China develops a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, what will the US give up?

3 points by legerdemain 6y ago

In the event that China develops an effective SARS-CoV-2 vaccine significantly before any US-led efforts succeed, what are the likeliest concessions the US will make in exchange for access?

thebrain 6y ago
Nothing, it's in everyone's best interest to share a vaccine with the entire world. A vaccine for this is not something to profit from.
- legerdemain 6y ago
  "Should" is not "will." Companies will profit from vaccines and world powers will fight for exclusive access to them. Moderna intends to profit from a vaccine, should theirs prove successful (that is, they will not sell it at cost).[1] The US has already made efforts to buy up a vaccine supply and withhold it from other nations.[2] [1] https://www.ft.com/content/405c0d07-d15a-4f5b-8a77-3c2fbd5d4c1c https://www.ft.com/content/405c0d07-d15a-4f5b-8a77-3c2fbd5d4... [2] https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-confirms-that-donald-trump-tried-to-buy-firm-working-on-coronavirus-vaccine/ https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-confirms-that-donald...
uberman 6y ago
Why do you think a vaccine produced and certified outside of the U.S.A would be approved for use in the U.S.A prior to lets say the Moderna candidate that is currently already in phase 3 testing within the U.S.A? I think a better question might be: What will happen if the government of the U.S.A. purchase all (at least the first 100 million) doses of the effective vaccine(s).
- deleted 6y ago
  [deleted]
cell9840179419 6y ago
One country vaccine will not have automatic approval for use in another country.
cell9840179419 6y ago
In fact, this may be the most likely scenario. The China scientists have the advantage of the origination. Hopefully all research, not necessarily products, will be shared after the products hit the market, so that every country rich or poor will manufacture themselves. The pie is so large there will be enough money to be made by all companies involved, so they should not hesitate in sharing.

3 points by legerdemain 6y ago

In the event that China develops an effective SARS-CoV-2 vaccine significantly before any US-led efforts succeed, what are the likeliest concessions the US will make in exchange for access?

thebrain 6y ago

Nothing, it's in everyone's best interest to share a vaccine with the entire world. A vaccine for this is not something to profit from.

legerdemain 6y ago
"Should" is not "will." Companies will profit from vaccines and world powers will fight for exclusive access to them. Moderna intends to profit from a vaccine, should theirs prove successful (that is, they will not sell it at cost).[1] The US has already made efforts to buy up a vaccine supply and withhold it from other nations.[2] [1] https://www.ft.com/content/405c0d07-d15a-4f5b-8a77-3c2fbd5d4c1c https://www.ft.com/content/405c0d07-d15a-4f5b-8a77-3c2fbd5d4... [2] https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-confirms-that-donald-trump-tried-to-buy-firm-working-on-coronavirus-vaccine/ https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-confirms-that-donald...

uberman 6y ago

Why do you think a vaccine produced and certified outside of the U.S.A would be approved for use in the U.S.A prior to lets say the Moderna candidate that is currently already in phase 3 testing within the U.S.A? I think a better question might be: What will happen if the government of the U.S.A. purchase all (at least the first 100 million) doses of the effective vaccine(s).

deleted 6y ago
[deleted]

cell9840179419 6y ago

One country vaccine will not have automatic approval for use in another country.

cell9840179419 6y ago

In fact, this may be the most likely scenario. The China scientists have the advantage of the origination. Hopefully all research, not necessarily products, will be shared after the products hit the market, so that every country rich or poor will manufacture themselves. The pie is so large there will be enough money to be made by all companies involved, so they should not hesitate in sharing.