3 ms·
If we consider p(him dying) = 1 if convicted to a death sentence. The point of the lawyer if that p(him getting covid in prison) * p(him dying of covid as a hea
by IMTDb 6y ago
If we consider p(him dying) = 1 if convicted to a death sentence. The point of the lawyer if that p(him getting covid in prison) * p(him dying of covid as a healthy 40 year old) ≈ 1.
If it's not a huge exaggeration, please run me through the numbers.
Because p(him dying of covid as a healthy 40 year old) < 0.015
I would love to pay those attorney's fee with few lottery tickets if that's how this guy plays with statistics.
- munk-a 6y agoThat's fair yea - so I think there a few ways this lawyer's statements can be proven to be nonsense. The numbers in that formulary are mostly unknown so I'd be more comfortable attacking the statement from the angle I outlined above but I agree the numbers clearly don't match what the lawyer is implying.