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That's ambiguous, and unwise to be saying now in any case. The cumulative number of deaths per million citizens is still lower than a bunch of countries in Eur

That's ambiguous, and unwise to be saying now in any case. The cumulative number of deaths per million citizens is still lower than a bunch of countries in Europe, but every day the US has 10 to 100 times the number of covid deaths as one of those countries. Double or quadruple all of Europe together. So it seems likely the US will overtake them. My (somewhat simplistic) extrapolation suggests about 4 months to match Belgium.

fastball 6y ago
How are fatality rates ambiguous? There is also the fact that different countries are using different methodologies to count COVID-19 deaths, with the US having one of the most liberal definitions (anyone that had COVID-19 at the time of death is counted, whether or not the actual death can be directly traced back to COVID-19). Many nations are not using this broad-stroke method of counting COVID-19 deaths. The US fatality rate needs to double (from 453/M to 853/M) in order to match Belgium. The trends are definitely not indicating that this will be likely. The current 30/day trend would need to continue for an additional 160 days uninterrupted in order to match Belgium, and that does not seem likely given the data we've seen anywhere in the world (the majority of which has significantly less medical capacity than the US).