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I think you are mistaken on two counts. The data is certainly not so self-evident that you can simply assert the parent is wrong. Deaths are rising in counties
by gizmo 6y ago
I think you are mistaken on two counts. The data is certainly not so self-evident that you can simply assert the parent is wrong.
Deaths are rising in counties that hadn't had significant exposure to covid19 before, and already the trend is heading down across the board. Deaths will be climbing in a couple of hotspots for the next 2 weeks, but total deaths in the entirety of the USA shouldn't exceed 280k.
I agree the virus hasn't become less potent, but hospitals have gotten much, much better at treatment. Remdesivir in particular makes a big difference. Spread in long term care facilities are now tracked nationwide, with terrific results. So the CFR is down by a lot, even though the virus hasn't changed.
Nobody in the US is being denied care because the ICUs are full. Yes, some hospitals are strained but this is not at all unusual. You'll find similar articles about maxed out ICUs from 2018, 2016, etc. First hit on google from jan 2018: "Hospitals Overwhelmed by Flu Patients Are Treating Them in Tents" (https://time.com/5107984/hospitals-handling-burden-flu-patients/ https://time.com/5107984/hospitals-handling-burden-flu-patie...). Moving patients to hospitals with spare capacity isn't that big of a deal. Bear in mind that Hospitals are for profit and ICU beds are extremely expensive. As a consequence hospitals target 85%+ ICU utilization throughout the year, otherwise they're losing money.
Didn't the Texas Tribune just misreport the data? https://twitter.com/VanceGinn/status/1287940050752286721 https://twitter.com/VanceGinn/status/1287940050752286721
- perl4ever 6y ago>already the trend is heading down across the board You mean the rate of increase of the increase in deaths is heading down...across the board?