The problem isn't that he was wrong, but that his method of reasoning about risk is dangerously flawed. Of course, you won't get much of that analysis in a buzz

The problem isn't that he was wrong, but that his method of reasoning about risk is dangerously flawed. Of course, you won't get much of that analysis in a buzzfeed article, but I recommend this article by Nassim Taleb: https://forecasters.org/blog/2020/06/14/on-single-point-forecasts-for-fat-tailed-variables/ https://forecasters.org/blog/2020/06/14/on-single-point-fore...