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Wow! How can TSMC survive that decimation? One answer may be that 5nm was pretty much the end of miniaturization anyway, and TSMC would be stuck there with a
by sukilot 6y ago
Wow! How can TSMC survive that decimation?
One answer may be that 5nm was pretty much the end of miniaturization anyway, and TSMC would be stuck there
with a dwindling moat until competitors caught up.
https://www.zdnet.com/article/thousands-of-taiwanese-chip-experts-moved-to-china-for-better-pay-reports/ https://www.zdnet.com/article/thousands-of-taiwanese-chip-ex...
- qserasera 6y agoWe will soon find out if China was able to poach critical knowledge from those people. China has a rather poor trackrecord of valuing human resources.
- ksec 6y ago>One answer may be that 5nm was pretty much the end of miniaturization anyway There is 3nm in 2022, 2nm GAA in 2024 and 1.4nm in 2026.
- woofie11 6y agoNope, Moore's Law is over. We run into wavelength-of-light issues around 400 nanometers. There's really no practical way to go beyond that. I can provide tons of citations from top engineers stating we're done here. You might have some processes with e-beam lithography, but it's just too expensive and slow for anything outside super-specialized uses. Fortunately, that's gotten us to the 200MHz Pentium Pro, with 5 million transistors. Seems like that's plenty good enough for what most people would want to do with computers.
- chaorace 6y agoI think it's more accurate to say that die shrinkage is over. Moore's Law still has a fighting chance, we just have to wait and see what the clever engineers at AMD, Intel, Qualcom, et al. do about it. Of course, with 5 million transistors of pure power, I also see no need for further improvements.