3 ms·
There is _some_ value in knowing that you had it even after the fact. Having a positive PCR test is way better than a positive antibody test. This knowledge mea
by threatripper 6y ago
There is _some_ value in knowing that you had it even after the fact. Having a positive PCR test is way better than a positive antibody test. This knowledge means that it is unlikely that you will get it again soon. (Though, we don't have very good data on that. It will take some time till we know how long immunity lasts and how well it works.)
For test and trace to suppress the epidemic you'd want to have results before people become infectious to chase the infection chain quicker than it spreads. That means contact identification and test results in the order of 1-2 days (the faster the better but with peak about 3-8 days after infection you want to be on the lower end). Right now this strategy is not feasible since there are just too many cases coming in. Therefore this calls for a hard lockdown until the case rate is manageable again. Since the lockdown is not going to happen it will continue to spread till the hot zones burn out. Getting to herd immunity without overloading the hospitals is unlikely and would probably take years. Therefore overloading the hospitals is inevitable now. The difference between hospitals overloaded by a factor 3, 10, 100 does not seem so very big since you can't care for most patients anyways. Overloading heavily on the other hand has the advantage that it might be over soon and you are done with it (or maybe not, we don't know how long lasting immunity is and how many people will have serious health problems afterwards). So in summary: We are probably beyond the point of no return and whatever happens will happen. I wish you all and your loved ones good health and good luck.
- acqq 6y ago> Having a positive PCR test is way better than a positive antibody test. This knowledge means that it is unlikely that you will get it again soon. I believe positive “antibody” test could hint to some chance of faring better “next time”. But even that is still not clear.