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The Turkish diaspora in Germany and elsewhere is key here. If Erdogan can excite them in nationalistic explosion, he will be shielded against any military actio
by choeger 6y ago
The Turkish diaspora in Germany and elsewhere is key here. If Erdogan can excite them in nationalistic explosion, he will be shielded against any military action by the EU. A Turkish uprising would literally burn the industrial heart of Europe down. If he cannot, for instance because Germans with Turkish ancestry consider themselves well-off and do not want to change that, he could very well catch a bloody nose. That would almost certainly be the beginning of the end of his rule. High stakes for everyone.
- onetimemanytime 6y ago>>A Turkish uprising would literally burn the industrial heart of Europe down.? You think that Turks would riot and burn Germany down? Germans are still German deep down ... ;)
- fit2rule 6y agoIts honestly not inconceivable. Here in Vienna, there is a serious contingent of pro-Erdogan demonstrators rolled out to counter any demonstrations against Turkey, and they're not disinclined to violence when things don't go their way. Austria has typically been able to defuse these things, but in Germany the situation may be a bit more volatile due to the scales of people involved. It could be only a few months of rabble-rousing and suddenly there's an insurgency problem in Germany.
- onetimemanytime 6y ago>>It could be only a few months of rabble-rousing and suddenly there's an insurgency problem in Germany. There is a German state wanting to maintain the state monopoly on violence, and then they are German citizens. I think we can agree that rabble-rousing will be going on on the German side too. I just, just have a feeling that the insurgents will regret it...
- s9w 6y ago89% of Turks living in Germany voted for Erdogan, far more than those living in Turkey.
- edna314 6y agoWith less then 50% actually voting.