4 ms·

I would love to hear where you got the idea: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/from-our-experts/early-herd-immunity-against-covid-19-a-dangerous-misconception https:

• gpm 6y ago
  To be clear, this is a individual strategy not a group one. It's moving from a place with a curve that spikes late, to a place with a curve that spikes early, such that you dodge both spikes. This doesn't work for society as a whole (which can't just up and move to dodge the virus). Nor am I claiming that California has yet achieved any substantial degree of herd immunity. Just that projecting current rates forward I think you will before I actually end up moving there (it helps that I have a lot of flexibility). That said, the 70% figure in your article is too high. Research [1] and experience in Sweden [2] suggests that there are substantial benefits at just 40%. [1] https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/06/22/science.abc6810.long https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/06/22/scie... [2] https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=sv&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dn.se%2Fnyheter%2Fsverige%2Ffhm-stockholm-kan-ha-40-procents-immunitet%2F https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=sv&tl=en&u=https%3...