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I'd call it the opposite. There is statistically no such thing as 99 heads in row. So when someone says "assume the coin toss is fair, 99 heads in row happen, w
by greggman3 6y ago
I'd call it the opposite. There is statistically no such thing as 99 heads in row. So when someone says "assume the coin toss is fair, 99 heads in row happen, what are the odds the next will be heads". Your answer should not be "50%". Your answer should be "You just asked me a bullshit question because there is basically no such thing as 99 heads in a row in the real word. In a hypothetical world maybe but in the real world nope"
Or maybe to be nicer about it the proper response is "So are we talking about the real world because in the real world the odds of 99 heads in a row are 1 in 2^100 which is effectively zero so I just want to verify you understand that your hypothetical situation and conclusion will have no basis in reality. If you actually saw 99 heads in a row then the odds are infinitely higher the coin is broken and is not fair"