I think the Ludic Fallacy would be better described as, "A tendency to be overconfident that you know what the game is." If you read the Black Swan, what Taleb

I think the Ludic Fallacy would be better described as, "A tendency to be overconfident that you know what the game is." If you read the Black Swan, what Taleb is mainly railing against are people who are completely confident that because they have a model, that it must therefore be correct, and refuse to remember all the caveats, and what could happen if their model is wrong.