4 ms·

I think the central point here is that «assume that» is fine when working with a math problem, but can kill you in real life. If you’ve just lost two billion d

• FeepingCreature 6y ago
  Right, but the study has nothing to do with this, because the question was not in real life, but about a fictional scenario. "Assume you jump off a bridge. Would you be dead?" "No, because I'd change my mind. What, you think I'd jump off a bridge because someone tells me to?" "No, but I'd rather expect you'd assume it because I tell you, in the context of a hypothetical."
  • basdftrewq 6y ago
    I think the point would be that expertise in those fictional scenarios doesn't correlate with expertise in real scenarios, and many experts only have been trained in fictional scenarios.
  • Ambol 6y ago
    But this is experts we are talking about. There's supposed to be some degree of translation between models and real life. The point of the fallacy is that this translation can be very debatable and restricted in many fields, and that a good observer with decent intuition can beat those models easily. If this was about a purely intellectual roleplaying game with internal rules there would be no discussion in the first place.
    • FeepingCreature 6y ago
      > If this was about a purely intellectual roleplaying game with internal rules there would be no discussion in the first place. Which is what makes the discussion bullshit. Because if you're starting your experiment with "assume that", that's what you're signalling you're doing.