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The November US election is going to be very interesting in that regard. If people are truly so upset with the current state of social discourse enough to hold
by tux1968 6y ago
The November US election is going to be very interesting in that regard. If people are truly so upset with the current state of social discourse enough to hold their nose and vote for Trump again, it might just embolden some more vocal and confident push back. Of course, that doesn't seem very likely given all that's going on in the world. But I would have never predicted his winning the first time around either.
- catalogia 6y agoI'm not sure people upset with the current state of social discourse have much incentive to vote for an incumbent. That seems inherently counterproductive.
- tux1968 6y agoI think that people upset with the dominant narrative may be the reason Trump got elected in the first place. That same socially dominant sector has been railing against him non-stop for 4 years (as well as everything else they're doing). So if some people are afraid of speaking out against that narrative, the idea of secretly punishing it with their vote might come into play.
- phtrivier 6y agoI really don't know how to avoid overcompensating for failing to "see it coming" in 2016. I was not as confident as many people (reading Scott Adams, at the time, at least made it more of a possibility.) Now, I simply can't picture the guy not being reelected, no matter how many poll aggregator I can see. So, my rationalization is that polls are just getting it wrong, again, and are pretty much useless, but that the silent majority will, again, surprise everyone. We need brain scans rather than poll, quickly