FiveThirtyEight had Trump at 29%. Most others had him at 1-15%. Betting markets had him at 18%. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gave-t

FiveThirtyEight had Trump at 29%. Most others had him at 1-15%. Betting markets had him at 18%. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gave-trump-a-better-chance-than-almost-anyone-else/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gav...