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By the time of the election, the polls had narrowed considerably. There were a lot of clowns with predictions of 99% chances and whatnot, but people that actual
by creato 6y ago
By the time of the election, the polls had narrowed considerably. There were a lot of clowns with predictions of 99% chances and whatnot, but people that actually understood statistics and polls had the race a lot closer to a coin flip at the time of the election (IIRC 60-40 odds).
- Tempest1981 6y agoFiveThirtyEight had Trump at 29%. Most others had him at 1-15%. Betting markets had him at 18%. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gave-trump-a-better-chance-than-almost-anyone-else/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gav...
- erichocean 6y ago> There were a lot of clowns with predictions of 99% chances and whatnot Is that what we're calling the New York Times these days? How the might have fallen…