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Pre Close: - From Bloomberg re Robinhood and TSLA "number of Robinhood accounts holding Tesla shares (in some form) is at an all- time high of 496,890. Tesla i
by chollida1 6y ago
Pre Close:
- From Bloomberg re Robinhood and TSLA "number of Robinhood accounts holding Tesla shares (in some form) is at an all-
time high of 496,890. Tesla is the second-most popular stock on the
platform over the last 24 hours, and the 19th-most popular stock over the last 7 days."
Looking at:
- if profitiable check for amount of regulatory credits that Telsa gets from other automakers,
this could be the difference between profitablity and not, though if this is what puts them over them
edge then be a bit concerned
- Is Texax truck factory happening or not? If so, what kind of tax incentives did they get as
these types of tax deals are the first thing that could get cut if reports of Texas', um Texas sized,
budget gaps exits, Tulsa is the other option, maybe with the SC ruling Tulsa is native land there could be some
weird tax deal there??
- Tesla's capex was cut way back from almost $3B forcats to under $1.3, helps make them look profitiable last year
at the expense of that having to be made up this or next year, look for capex to be much higher
- Model Y and X and S are only made in Fremont, though Shanghai will start producing the Y soonish, still lots of
geographical risk as the pandemic and factory shutdown illustrated, Musk must do better here
- Model Y was discounted and its brand new, Model S and X were discounted as well, TSLA really pushing to make
their quarter for cars delivered, watch for gross margins to be down but numbers to be very juiced for a large beat
Numbers:
- Rev $6B vs $5.5B, down from previous highs, but with teh lock down, pretty darn good!!
- profit of 50cents per share on a GAAP basis, nice, though credits really juiced this
- 4 quarters of profitability, though not always pretty or organic is really nice to see
- Net Income was $451M vs ($74M), nice but mostly a factor of major discounting of cars and credit sales
- Cash and cash equivalents @ $8.5B, nice!!!
- Solar, yawn, 27 MW installed, why even bother at this point?
- handed over 90,000 vehicles, different from produced
Outcome:
- market cap is now $320B, wow!!
- stock is flat on day as one would expect with so much vol leading up to announcement. The Post earnings drift traders are probably staying away as you need nerves of steel to trade TSLA earnings:)
- Musk is now able to exercise an additional 1.69 million stock options, meaning he would reap a $2.1 billion gain if he exercised and could immediately sell the shares.
- S&P 500 here we come, so /r/wallstreetbets and robinhood, congrats you guys did it!!!
- itsoktocry 6y ago>if profitiable check for amount of regulatory credits that Telsa gets from other automakers, this could be the difference between profitablity and not, though if this is what puts them over them edge then be a bit concerned $400MM+ in regulatory credits. GAAP Profit is around $120MM so far in 2020, with almost $800MM in credit sales. Crazy.
- ksec 6y ago>- S&P 500 here we come, so /r/wallstreetbets and robinhood, congrats you guys did it!!! Thanks for the summary. This should have been top comment. My risk appetite tells me not invest on something I dont understand. And I dont understand Tesla's valuation. But from an outsider perspective, this has been fun to watch.
- sbahr001 6y agoI am really surprised how solid their finances are. $320 billion is definitely over-value in term of profit/value ratio. They are starting to be valued as a tech company which is good and bad. It looks that Elon is not valuing Tesla as a tech company in the traditional sense, but a utility/car company. It builds custom tech to improve those services. Their intellectual capital is undervalued in my opinion and may worth more than $100 billion. No car company at this moment, can come close to Tesla, and they are all spending billions, to develop batteries, vehicles, self driving tech, and infrastructure. They are even working together as they can't cover the costs on their own. Imagine Tesla selling their batteries/engines/platform/superchargers to every car company(like an intel for cars). They can sustain their revenue by providing the supercharger network(cloud service) to go with it; with a supercharger network being the new gas station, using clean energy(near zero cost energy). Then add their self-driving platform auto companies can lease.