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It's too early to say the Swedish strategy failed, because the Swedish strategy was "do badly at the start to do better later", and "later" isn't finished yet.
by gpm 6y ago
It's too early to say the Swedish strategy failed, because the Swedish strategy was "do badly at the start to do better later", and "later" isn't finished yet.
On the flip side it would be possible to say it succeeded, if it did so much better that they are already better off than the rest of the world, but I don't think we're really there yet either (and the epidemiologists point is really just that there are signs that they might be there in the future).
- basch 6y agoRight. The denominator in rate is per "unit of time" and we dont know the period. The two ways you could compare them are equal points on a bell curve, or equal time periods. What you can't do is compare two instantaneous speeds and then argue that one car has a faster average speed.
- Viliam1234 6y ago> It's too early to say the Swedish strategy failed, because the Swedish strategy was "do badly at the start to do better later", and "later" isn't finished yet. So, at this moment we are only celebrating that Sweden succeeded at the "do badly at the start" part?
- gpm 6y agoOf course not, the article is rather celebrating the signs that the "do better overall" part of the plan will work out. I think that celebration is a bit premature, from your reaction I assume you do to, but that doesn't mean it isn't a real thing.
- Viliam1234 6y agoTo me it seems that Sweden's strategy has been celebrated since the first day, and the celebrations never stopped. At this moment I wonder what would it actually take to make the celebrations stop.