Elo might or mightn't suck (imo it's a great ranking system). But the article sucks. Vanilla elo is built around chess and some adjustments to the scale and/or

Elo might or mightn't suck (imo it's a great ranking system). But the article sucks. Vanilla elo is built around chess and some adjustments to the scale and/or K-factor might be necessary to fit the circumstance. A quick change of scale to E = (1 / 1 + 10 ^ ((Ra - Rb) / 800)) and all of a sudden ELO very accurately reflects the games actual results: https://imgur.com/a/rFP5U0g https://imgur.com/a/rFP5U0g Meaning just that skill is a weaker factor in this game than in chess... Edit: The 'actual' curve includes a correction for the obvious anomaly of ~55% win expectation at 0 point delta.