Take a look at the hospitalization rate (~20% for all age groups) 0.66% of NYC residents have been hospitalized (https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-d

Take a look at the hospitalization rate (~20% for all age groups) 0.66% of NYC residents have been hospitalized (https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page). Antibody tests show that at least 20% of NYC was infected, and that's likely an underestimate (antibodies take weeks to show up and may soon drop to undetectable levels). So the hospitalization rate is at most around 3%. Once we run out of hospital resources, the death rate will jump 5-10x. If that happens, you're talking 20+ million deaths in the U.S That's just not going to happen. There was essentially uncontrolled spread in NYC, and the hospitals were strained but not overwhelmed. The hospitalization and death rates in currently hard-hit states are much lower than peak NYC, and may already be at a plateau. It seems as if the older people are dying, and the younger patients are surviving, but with long-term damage. This is a real concern, but I'd like data rather than anecdotes.