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I know that all vaccines are different, the thing I take issue with is using HIV as evidence that a vaccine for this virus might take decades to develop, despit
by Trasmatta 6y ago
I know that all vaccines are different, the thing I take issue with is using HIV as evidence that a vaccine for this virus might take decades to develop, despite all the current evidence to the contrary.
> The more deadly a virus is, the faster it does burn out. It runs out of hosts to infect or everyone develops an immunity. SARS/MERS may have had lower outbreaks because of how much more dangerous they were.
At what point is the virus going to "run out of hosts to infect" or reach a point where "everyone develops an immunity"? Everything I've read from epidemiologists seems to indicate we're a long ways away from that. We're not going to get a free pass from herd immunity anytime soon (https://covid19-projections.com/us https://covid19-projections.com/us estimates that the US is at 8.4% total infection so far), and we can't count on it just burning itself out. It's a bad combination, where it's not deadly enough to quickly burn itself out like SARS/MERS, but has a death rate higher than something like the flu, and is very transmissible.
> The cases are going up, but the fatalities are not, indicating there may be a lot of over-counting
I'm very skeptical of the over-counting claim, without evidence. And I don't think it's quite true to claim that fatalities are not going up. The 7-day rolling average of deaths in the US has been climbing since around July 5th.