50% chance (assuming doctors were correct about survival rate) that your life would be better if you didn't go through chemo. Sum % positive reasons of not doi

50% chance (assuming doctors were correct about survival rate) that your life would be better if you didn't go through chemo. Sum % positive reasons of not doing chemo: n% chance that you'd recover without doing anything n% chance that these naturopathic cures do somehow cure you n% chance that the treatment would actually make things worse It's a garden of forking paths. You can't just reason about this with one number. Choices are hard. People die. Just a matter of order.