2 ms·
On one hand, you're saying their land is going to be more valuable - and then on the other you're saying their land is going to suffer under climate change. Yo
by koheripbal 6y ago
On one hand, you're saying their land is going to be more valuable - and then on the other you're saying their land is going to suffer under climate change.
Your analysis seems very politically motivated, rather than objectively looking at probable outcomes.
If anything, more fertile land will drive immigration, not invasion, and help solve their demographic problems.
- Balgair 6y agoMy apologies for being unclear. No, the land may become more valuable as the grain belts and people migrate poleward. Land to the south will become less valuable and hotter. The southern neighbors are gaining greatly in population, while Russia is loosing population. The current Russian actions (Vlad's) do not seem to indicate welcoming immigrants or other diverse people (Chechnya, hyper complicated, yes, but still). Russia does have a long history of multi-ethnic tension and release though. I'd hope that they (Vlad) welcome the climate refugees, but such integration is likely to be very difficult, as is usual. A 'Roman' approach may be good to alleviate the strife, where in the pre-Gothic invasions, the Roman M.O. was to take the younger immigrant men into the legions, separate the clans/tribes across the empire to tie allegiance to their neighbors and Rome, and then in about three generations the grandchildren would run the empire. Unfortunately for Russia, that takes ~60-80 years, so about 2080-2100, well past the issues of 2050.