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You think the US is prepared to use nuclear weapons in a conflict involving Taiwan? Over semiconductor chips? (or are you using "nuclear option" in the rhetori
by supernova87a 6y ago
You think the US is prepared to use nuclear weapons in a conflict involving Taiwan? Over semiconductor chips? (or are you using "nuclear option" in the rhetorical sense?) Or, given your next sentence says "if they don't..." I suppose you're only offering a non-expert sports-fan level of opinion.
Well, my opinion is that the US government, and the US public, is unwilling and has been demonstrably unable to muster any kind of support for significant military force over any issue that is complex and intangible, for the last 15 years. Name one recent strategic issue aside from Iraq/Afghanistan that the US and allies haven't backed down from (involving military force)? If it doesn't involve weapons of mass destruction, an imminent danger, or American lives being threatened, our collective attention span doesn't care to cash in our chips. And unlike oil, semiconductors don't hit big conservative wallets and their motivations.
I don't think America (in the popular sense) knows or cares what Taiwan is, to be honest. We can't even get our shit together to defend our supply of toilet paper and cloth masks. So I have strong doubts that a conflict over such a technical / intangible issue would rile up America's political will enough to convince people to go to war. And especially not with this administration's political skills.
- ethbro 6y ago> semiconductors don't hit big conservative wallets and their motivations The military.
- 2OEH8eoCRo0 6y ago>the US public, is unwilling and has been demonstrably unable to muster any kind of support for significant military force over any issue that is complex and intangible Americans would be directly affected by a conflict. Where do all of these electronics come from?
- thu2111 6y agoA lot come from US fabs! People here are talking like Intel fabs have all ceased to exist or something. They haven't. It's really Europe that needs to panic about China/Taiwan (where there are NO firms that can manufacture semiconductors at scale), but, they aren't of course.
- sct202 6y agoIntel has fabs but they don't make anything except Intel products. They tried a few years ago to set up a contract foundry business, but it didn't work out despite signing some big deals initially (Nokia).
- thu2111 6y agoNo, but if TSMC was destroyed in a war or captured by the PRC, then suddenly their fabs would be a lot more attractive for contract fab users.
- LargoLasskhyfv 6y agoBut...vee häff ze mächinz which make ze chips! (ASML)