3 ms·
TL;DR: you are wrong. There is some tantalizing evidence that maybe just maybe there might possibly be some degree of latent t cell cross reactivity. This is
by hcknwscommenter 6y ago
TL;DR: you are wrong.
There is some tantalizing evidence that maybe just maybe there might possibly be some degree of latent t cell cross reactivity. This is not actionable information, because it very well could be false.
"based on the basic reproduction number" is total nonsense. I am not basing anything on the basic reproduction number. I don't even know what you are even referring to here.
I understand the math just fine. It is you who keep doing the math wrong. You are "factoring in" 3 different variables, each of which are controversial and may not even exist at all. Then you are taking the most optimistic scenario for each one of these variables, compounding your bad math three times over.
Your argument is even more murderous if HIT is 65%. 65% of 7.5 billion people is 5 billion. IFR of 0.3% (which you admittedly completely made up) is 14 million dead? I'm on mobile but I think that's right. You want to kill 14 million people. Even though Japan, S. Korea, Singapore, Canada, Taiwan, Germany, Italy, Spain, heck arguably even NYC right now have proven that this can be controlled.