You cannot argue that there wouldn't be more infections if we hadn't shut down. That is, if we hadn't shut down, we'd have exponentially more infections right

You cannot argue that there wouldn't be more infections if we hadn't shut down. That is, if we hadn't shut down, we'd have exponentially more infections right now. There are deleterious effects to shutting down. But your theory that shutting down has lead to more deaths is absurd.