4 ms·
My guess is that the deaths probably would maintain roughly the same rate for the true number of infected, which is a number we do not know because of asymptoma
by Bahamut 6y ago
My guess is that the deaths probably would maintain roughly the same rate for the true number of infected, which is a number we do not know because of asymptomatic cases. That numbers of people testing positive is going up doesn’t mean that the overall rate is going up given we do not know the true infected rate, but number of deaths provides a reasonable proxy for that.
- fragmede 6y agoWe understand the disease a bit better, and have better treatments (eg dexamethasone) than we had in March, so I'd expect the true fatality to go down somewhat. (read carefully, this is not in contradiction with the CDC raising their estimate of the IFR). Better treatments are of no use if hospitals are overwhelmed, unfortunately.
- dwaltrip 6y agoThe percentage of tests with a positive result has increased, which indicates an increase in the true number of cases. https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states